Judging from the scope of the decline, many places have shown a steady trend to stop the decline.
This illustrates a reason. The negative impact of the reserve meat has become smaller and smaller and gradually disappeared. However, there is no good news for hog prices now . They can only remain stable, not rise.
In fact, in addition to policy control, the key factor in rising hog prices is consumption. If consumption does not rise, even if you are short of pigs, no one eats meat.
But from now on, the bottom of pork consumption may soon pick up, and retaliatory consumption may prompt pork prices to stop falling.
1. Pork prices have fallen and consumption is positive;
Since last year, the most talked about topic is pork, and the most talked about is that pork is too expensive, and the rise in pork has curbed consumption. Now, under control measures, pork prices continue to fall, and prices become cheaper, which is the best stimulus to consumption.
2. The economy is gradually recovering, with money to dare to buy meat.
Since the Spring Festival, due to special reasons, people’s income sources have been greatly affected. Who dares to spend so much money on meat!
But now the whole country is starting to resume work and production, and everyone has economic income, and they have confidence in their hearts. Coupled with the favorable holidays and weekend breaks, hog consumption has risen sharply!
The income has stabilized a little bit, and I have a heart in mind, and the consumption of pork will also increase to a certain extent. After all, China is a big country that eats meat, especially pork. It is impossible for everyone to become a vegetarian.
Source: Pig Market Quotes Today
Pig price “three rises must be”! A golden turning point!
With regard to the current trend of national pig prices in the coming months of 2020, some opportunities and challenges faced by pig farmers are summed up as the “three rises in pig prices”. The future pig price will usher in a golden turning point.
The first increase: the consumer price of live pigs rises!
Judging from the current situation, this time the national price of live pigs is running smoothly and will not be affected by the reserve meat, which fully shows that local live pig consumption has risen. However, as the consumption of live pigs continues to rise, there will be a turnaround in the price of live pigs across the country. Under the overall situation of two-way recovery of economic order and socio-economic income, hog consumption will definitely change the downturn in March and usher in a new round of full-scale outbreak in April.
The second increase: the price of international pigs rises!
Judging from the current pattern of the global pig industry, affected by sudden public health and safety incidents, the pig production capacity of many countries in the world has experienced fluctuations. Including Italy, Spain, Australia, many countries are facing huge economic shocks. Affected by this emergency, global hog production capacity will decline, and international hog prices will definitely rise.
After all, the supply and demand of the market, no matter from the domestic or global perspective, once the production capacity of hogs declines, the price of hogs will definitely rise! Affected by international hog prices, domestic hog prices will also usher in a new round of favorable market conditions.
The third increase: the price of piglets rises!
Compared with consumption and international hog prices, the current situation of rising piglet prices in China remains severe. On the one hand, due to the continued rise in the price of piglets this time, due to the continued expansion of the supplementary pen of the pig industry, the consumption of piglets has increased dramatically. The other aspect is affected by the large investment of large and medium-sized pig enterprises, especially the new hope that the newly added pig production capacity of 8 million heads will be completed by 2020. Therefore, large and medium-sized first-line pig-raising enterprises are investing heavily in the pig-raising industry. Piglet prices will remain tight for some time to come, which requires nationwide pig farmers to remain vigilant.
Definitely: The turning point of pig prices in April is confirmed!
After experiencing a sustained slump in March, although the national pig price has continued to slump in April, such a slump has stabilized from the continued decline. This change fully illustrates two issues: on the one hand, the impact of local hog consumption on the current pig price is becoming greater, and on the other hand, the pig slaughtering companies have adjusted the purchase price strategy in response to the subsequent increase in local consumption. ; And such adjustments will also continue to rise with local hog consumption, ushering in a new round of turning, the inflection point of the sharp rise in pig prices is coming!
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Post time: Apr-28-2020